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Don't give up on anti-vaxxers

The U.S. has made great progress toward vaccinating the population against COVID-19. There is still a long way to go, but at the current...

Mailbag Question #4: Is it safe for schools to reopen?

Mailbag question: Schools in my area are reopening and I am concerned about whether it is safe. Is reopening schools a good idea?

The light at the end of the tunnel

Seeing the light at the end of the tunnel is not the same as being out of the tunnel. You still have to cover those last few yards.

Who should we blame for rising gas prices?

Lately I have seen a handful of posts asking the questions to the effect of: Why are gas prices so high now that Biden is president? One...

GECKO

It is not often that I get to share my work, so it was neat to see a hospital admission model I created (GECKO: Orange) incorporated into...

Yet again, my normal approach is useless here

In June, in the aftermath of the killing of George Floyd and the nationwide protests and widespread rioting that followed, I wrote a post...

Mailbag Question #3: The lowdown on lockdowns

Have you read Jay Bhattacharya’s “A sensible and compassionate anti-COVID strategy” in Imprimis? I have heard some talk about a focused...

Mailbag Question #2: Exploring excess deaths...again.

A friend sent me a blog post about a retracted Johns Hopkins study that contradicts what I have heard about COVID deaths. Have you heard...

Mailbag Question #1: Danish Mask Study

You may have noticed that this blog has been largely silent for a while. After sharing a couple of posts per week for 6 months, I...

200000

On September 11, we commemorated the 19th anniversary of the terrible terrorist attack that took almost 3000 American lives. I still...

Has the U.S. done "really well" in its COVID-19 response?

"The United States has done really well." - Donald J. Trump (September 10, 2020) This past week the president made the claim that the US...

Game theory and vaccination

“What is man that you are mindful of him, and the son of man that you care for him?” – Psalm 8:4 In this Psalm, David ponders this...

Herd immunity: it may not be what you think

It’s not about the destination, it’s about the journey. Whether you believe this applies to life or not, this statement certainly applies...

Exploring excess deaths

I have spent the last 6 months trying to provide context for all of the data that has been dumped on us during this pandemic in order to...

Multiple causes of death is normal

Perhaps you have heard the news, the CDC finally admitted that it was all a hoax and that 94% of COVID deaths were actually caused by...

Bayesian inference and confirmation bias

Have you ever been shopping for a product online and had trouble deciding between two similar products? When that happens to me, I...

Mortality by the numbers

In case you haven't noticed yet, I am a numbers guy. Numbers just stick in my brain sometimes. As a kid, I would pore over the stats on...

Seeker of truth or child of God?

In 2009, I took a senior seminar course entitled “Pondering the Big Questions”. In the course we read a variety of papers and books that...

Are the models actually wrong?

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this post are my own and do not represent those of my employer. The title is a reference to a quote by...

Seeing 2020: 

Current events through a mathematical lens

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